Temporal Trends in Atrial Fibrillation Ablation in the Elderly: Incidence of MACE and Recurrence Rates

BACKGROUND: The elderly population with atrial fibrillation (AF) is growing. There is limited evidence to suggest AF ablation as an effective treatment for the elderly.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the temporal trends of first-time ablations in the elderly, the impact of age on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and a composite endpoint of AF-related hospitalizations, repeat AF ablation, or use of antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs).

METHODS: Utilizing the Danish administrative registers, we incorporated individuals undergoing their first-time AF ablation from 2001 to 2020. Our cohort was divided into 3 age groups (<60, 60-74, and ≥75 years) and scrutinized across 4 consecutive 5-year intervals. Cox proportional-hazard multivariable analyses and cumulative incidences were used to evaluate the endpoints of 5-year MACE incidence and a 1-year composite endpoint of AF-related hospitalizations, repeat AF ablation, or use of antiarrhythmic drugs.

RESULTS: Elderly patients who underwent AF ablation increased significantly, from none in 2001 to 9% in 2020. The 5-year incidence of MACE in the elderly decreased from 61.9% (95% CI: 41.1%-82.7%) to 38.1% (95% CI: 31.9%-44.2%). The HR for age ≥75 years in the last time period was 1.52 (95% CI: 1.26-1.83). The 1-year composite outcome varied from 35.6% to 52.0%; age was not a consistent predictor.

CONCLUSIONS: AF ablation use in the elderly has significantly increased over time. A notable decrease in MACE was evident across all age cohorts, with a particularly pronounced trend observed among the elderly population. Age was not an independent predictor of the composite endpoint.