Results of the Randomized Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial with Focus on High-risk Profiling

Mathilde Marie Winkler Wille, Asger Dirksen, Haseem Ashraf, Zaigham Saghir, Karen S Bach, John Brodersen, Paul F Clementsen, Hanne Hansen, Klaus R Larsen, Jann Mortensen, Jakob F Rasmussen, Niels Seersholm, Birgit G Skov, Laura H Thomsen, Philip Tønnesen, Jesper H Pedersen

293 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

RATIONALE: As of April 2015, participants of the Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial have been followed for at least 5 years since the last screen. Objectives Mortality, causes of death, and lung cancer findings are reported.

METHODS: 4,104 participants aged 50-70 years at time of inclusion and with minimum 20 packyears were randomized to five annual low-dose CT scans or no screening.

MEASUREMENTS: Follow-up information regarding date and cause of death, lung cancer diagnosis, stage, and histology was obtained from national registries.

MAIN RESULTS: No differences in lung cancer mortality (Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.03, p=0.888, 95% CI: 0.66-1.6) or all-cause mortality (HR: 1.02, p=0.867, 95% CI: 0.82-1.27) were observed between the two groups. More cancers (100 vs. 53, p<0.001) were found in the screening group, in particular adenocarcinomas (58 vs. 18, p<0.001). More early-staged cancers (stage I+II: 54 vs. 10, p<0.001) and stage IIIa cancers (15 vs. 3, p=0.009) were found in the screening group. Stage IV cancers were non-significantly more frequent in the control group (23 vs. 32, p=0.278). For the highest-stage cancers (T4N3M1: 8 vs. 21, p=0.025) this was statistically significant, indicating an absolute stage-shift. Participants with higher age, COPD, and more than 35 pack-years had significantly increased risk of death from lung cancer with non-significantly fewer deaths in the screening group.

CONCLUSIONS: No statistically significant effects of CT screening on lung cancer mortality were found, but results of post hoc high-risk sub-group analyses show non-significant trends that seem in good agreement with results of the American NLST. Clinical trial registration available at www.clinicaltrials.gov, ID NCT00496977.

Original languageEnglish
JournalAmerican Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
Volume193
Issue number5
Pages (from-to)542-551
ISSN1073-449X
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016

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