Pregnancy-associated plasma protein A in a large cohort of Type 1 diabetic patients with and without diabetic nephropathy-a prospective follow--up study

AIM: Pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) has been implicated in the aetiology of acute coronary syndromes and carotid and peripheral artherosclerosis. Diabetic nephropathy is characterized by increased cardiovascular risk. We investigated the prognostic value of PAPP-A in a large cohort of Type 1 diabetic patients.

METHODS: In a prospective observational follow-up study, 197 Type 1 diabetic patients with diabetic nephropathy and a matched group of 178 patients with normoalbuminuria were followed for 10.1 (0-10.3) years. PAPP-A was determined at baseline.

RESULTS: In patients with diabetic nephropathy, plasma PAPP-A was elevated 3.6 (0.4-51.1) mIU/l [median (range)] vs. 2.1 (0.4-46.6) mIU/l in normoalbuminuric patients, P < 0.0001. For acute coronary syndromes, a PAPP-A threshold of 10 mIU/l has been suggested. Thirty-seven patients were above the threshold and of these 13 patients (35%) died, compared with 60 of 338 patients (18%) below the threshold; log rank test P = 0.007. PAPP-A significantly predicted mortality after adjustment for presence of nephropathy; hazard ratio for dying when PAPP-A was above the threshold 2.1 (95% CI 1.13-3.9); P = 0.019. After adjusting for traditional risk factors, the results were attenuated. When only patients with nephropathy were analysed, PAPP-A was significantly predictive of all-cause mortality [P = 0.008; 2.43 (1.26-4.67)] in unadjusted analysis. After adjustment, the predictive value of PAPP-A for all-cause mortality was attenuated (P = 0.064).

CONCLUSION: We find PAPP-A to be associated with increased mortality in Type 1 diabetic patients with nephropathy in unadjusted analysis. After adjustment for traditional risk factors, the prognostic value of PAPP-A was no longer significant.