Coronary artery calcification progression and renal involvement in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a longitudinal cohort study

To investigate if progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with renal and traditional cardiovascular risk factors as well as incidence of myocardial infarctions. CAC progression was evaluated by cardiac computed tomography (CT) at baseline and after 5 years. Multivariable Poisson regression was applied to investigate associations between CAC progression and baseline values for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, CAC, SLE disease duration, lupus nephritis, and renal function. Regarding renal function, three groups were defined based on eGFR. Further, we analysed association between CAC progression and myocardial infarction during follow-up. Of the 147 SLE patients, 99 had cardiac CT at baseline and 5-year follow-up, with a total of 502 patient-years. At baseline, their median age was 47 years, median SLE disease duration was 14 years, 88% were women, 58% had lupus nephritis, and the median eGFR was 99 mL/min/1.73m2. 38/99 (39%) had CAC progression. CAC progression was associated with smoking (ever) (relative risk [RR] 1.69, CI95% 1.19-2.40), SLE disease duration (RR per year 1.03, CI95% 1.01-1.04), and CAC presence (RR 2.52, CI95% 1.68-3.78) at baseline. During follow-up, myocardial infarction occurred in three (7.9%) CAC progressors and in two (3.3%) patients who did not have CAC at any time (RR 2.1, CI95% 0.0-5.5). In this study, progression of CAC was associated with smoking, SLE disease duration and the prior presence of CAC, but it was inconclusive as to associations with renal involvement and incidence of MI.