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Can trial sequential monitoring boundaries reduce spurious inferences from meta-analyses?

Kristian Thorlund, P J Devereaux, Jørn Wetterslev, Gordon Guyatt, John P A Ioannidis, Lehana Thabane, Lise-Lotte Gluud, Bodil Als-Nielsen, Christian Gluud

690 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Results from apparently conclusive meta-analyses may be false. A limited number of events from a few small trials and the associated random error may be under-recognized sources of spurious findings. The information size (IS, i.e. number of participants) required for a reliable and conclusive meta-analysis should be no less rigorous than the sample size of a single, optimally powered randomized clinical trial. If a meta-analysis is conducted before a sufficient IS is reached, it should be evaluated in a manner that accounts for the increased risk that the result might represent a chance finding (i.e. applying trial sequential monitoring boundaries).
Original languageEnglish
JournalInternational Journal of Epidemiology
Volume38
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)276-86
Number of pages11
ISSN0300-5771
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2009

Keywords

  • Data Interpretation, Statistical
  • False Positive Reactions
  • Humans
  • Meta-Analysis as Topic
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
  • Research Design
  • Treatment Outcome

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