The predictive value of disability at 2 weeks after plating of distal radial fractures: a prospective study of 101 patients

Assuming that some patients may benefit from early supervised rehabilitation after distal radial fractures, we investigated to what extent self-reported measures of disability, pain and performance of daily activities 2 weeks after anterior locking plating of distal radial fractures could predict long-lasting disability. We included 101 patients in a prediction study and recorded the scores of the Disability of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand questionnaire, visual analogue scales for pain and the Canadian Occupational Performance Measure. We found that the Disability of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand scores with a cut-off score of 50 were the best at predicting disability at 6 months in patients who did not receive early supervised therapy. The positive predictive value was 65% and the negative predictive value was 71%. We conclude that these scores could be used as a single measure to predict patient disability, although the predictive value was rather weak.Level of evidence: II.