Impact of offspring and their educational level on readmission and death among older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a nationwide cohort study using multistate survival models

BACKGROUND: It is well described that there is social inequality in the disease course of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but the impact of social relations is less explored. We aimed to investigate the impact of adult offspring and their educational level on readmission and death among older adults with COPD.

METHODS: In total, 71 084 older adults born 1935-53 with COPD diagnosed at age ≥65 years in 2000-2018 were included. Multistate survival models were performed to estimate the impact of adult offspring (offspring (reference) vs no offspring) and their educational level (low, medium or high (reference)) on the transition intensities between three states: COPD diagnosis, readmission and all-cause death.

RESULTS: During follow-up, 29 828 (42.0%) had a readmission and 18 504 (26.0%) died with or without readmission. Not having offspring was associated with higher hazards of death without readmission (HRwomen: 1.52 (95% CI: 1.39 to 1.67), HRmen: 1.29 (95% CI: 1.20 to 1.39)) and a higher hazard of death after readmission for women only (HRwomen: 1.19 (95% CI: 1.08 to 1.30). Having offspring with low educational level was associated with higher hazards of readmission (HRwomen: 1.12 (95% CI: 1.06 to 1.19)), (HRmen: 1.06 (95%CI: 1.002 to 1.12)), death without readmission (HRwomen: 1.24 (95% CI: 1.11 to 1.39)), HRmen: 1.16 (95% CI: 1.05 to 1.29) and death after readmission for men only (HRmen: 1.15 (95% CI: 1.05 to 1.25)). Having offspring with medium educational level was associated with a higher hazard of death without readmission for women (HRwomen: 1.11 (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.21)).

CONCLUSION: Adult offspring and their educational level were associated with higher risk of readmission and death among older adults with COPD.